How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
36.4 pts (24h)WeatherOne-Off1d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
10 or more states 60%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
44,2 €
Liquidez
169,3 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
0.8 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
3/09/26, 13:01 UTC10/09/26, 13:00 UTC
Tendências
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Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026
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ForecastExRegras
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
- Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii.
- The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Mercados abertos
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
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- Volume total
- € 232,5 mil
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- € 227,3 mil
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- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
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- € 186,1 mil
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
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POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
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- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume total
- € 66,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 28,6 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026??
- A Polymarket cota 10 or more states em 60% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026? é resolvido?
- How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Como How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.