Probabilidade implícita atual
Tarcísio de Freitas 82%-2.5%Líder entre 25 opções
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,9 mil €
Liquidez
109 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
11.4% / 14.0%
Spread
22.8%
Spread amploVariação 7d
+1.9%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
27/04/26, 21:304/10/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Resultado escolhido
Tarcísio de Freitas82%
Também disponível em Kalshi
São Paulo Governor winner?
87.0%1a
+87.0%91%
92%
8%
+3 mais resultados
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total263,5 €
Volume 24h4,9 €
KALSHIRegras
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).