PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Tarcísio de Freitas 99%+0.1ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
60,5 €
Liquidez
86,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
13
Variação 7d
+1.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 24 minutos
27/04/26, 21:25 UTC1/07/27, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo
PolymarketSão Paulo Federal Senate election winners?
KalshiElected Senators for São Paulo in 2026
FutuurBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats)
Manifold MarketsRegras
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — São Paulo Governor winner? · Tarcísio de Freitas 98%
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 133,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 947,3 mil
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 194,6 mi
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volume total
- € 28,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 523,8 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Volume total
- € 30,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 493,5 mil
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Next French Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Kansas Senate winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de São Paulo Governor Election Winner?
- A Polymarket cota Tarcísio de Freitas em 99% em 22 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando São Paulo Governor Election Winner é resolvido?
- São Paulo Governor Election Winner deverá ser resolvido em 1 de julho de 2027.
- Como São Paulo Governor Election Winner é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- Onde mais São Paulo Governor Election Winner está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.