PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Tarcísio de Freitas 94%Líder entre 25 opções
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
363,2 €
Liquidez
118,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
5.0% / 5.5%
Spread
10.0%
Spread amploVariação 7d
+1.3%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 minutos
27/04/26, 21:254/10/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Tarcísio de Freitas94%
Comparar plataformas· Tarcísio de Freitas
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 94% | 0pt | 363,2 € | 118,1 mil € | há 19 minutos | |
 Kalshi80% de correspondência · auto | Média | 92% | -2pt | 0,9 € | 11,4 mil € | há 19 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Kalshi
São Paulo Governor winner?
3.0%1a
-3.0%92%
8%
1%
+3 mais resultados
60 • Qualidade médiaSpread moderadoLiquidez médiaPerto da resolução
Volume total28,7 mil €
Volume 24h0,9 €
KALSHIRegras
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$4.8k92.0%POLYMARKETYes78979879879879há 24 dias
POLYMARKETYes78979879879879há 24 diasTendência de volume
$4132 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).