PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
55-60% 73.8%Líder entre 6 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
71 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
17,6 mil €
Liquidez
34 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
4.1 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
20/09/26, 14:15 UTC20/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
- The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot.
- Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
- Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party.
- Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
