Will United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections?
PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoGeopolíticaRussia / Ukraine13dManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 51.8%
Previsores
26
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
23/06/26, 22:56 UTC21/09/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the United Russia party wins more than 324 seats in the 2026 Russian legislative (State Duma) election.
- This market resolves to NO if United Russia wins 324 seats or fewer (representing a net loss or no change compared to their 2021 election result of 324 seats).
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined by the official results published by the Central Election Commission (CEC) of the Russian Federation, or widely accepted reporting from reputable outlets such as Meduza or the finalized Wikipedia page for the 2026 Russian legislative election.
- Baseline: The baseline for comparison is the 324 seats United Russia won in the previous 2021 Duma election, rather than active seats held immediately prior to the 2026 dissolution.
- If the creator intends to use the active pre-election seat count instead of the 2021 election baseline, they must edit this description prior to election day.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 52% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections? é resolvido?
- Will United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections? deverá ser resolvido em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria