Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 21:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31 89%+35.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
4,9 mil €
Liquidez
22 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
58.0% / 78.0%
Spread
20.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
+49.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado24/07/26, 23:191/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 180,4 mi
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 mais resultados
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next UK by-election called by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31 em 89% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next UK by-election called by which date? é resolvido?
- Next UK by-election called by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Next UK by-election called by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.