PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualPerson B 50%Líder entre 43 opções
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,1 mil €
Liquidez
53,7 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
35.0% / 43.0%
Spread
22.9%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
21/07/26, 23:3626/10/26, 23:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Person B50%
Tendência de volume
$2.4k22 de jul.5d de dados26 de jul.
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KALSHI
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Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections.
- It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
- If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”.
- An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
- If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections.