PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 13%+3.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
51 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
175,4 €
Liquidez
4,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
11.0% / 15.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
2
Variação 7d
+3.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
24/07/26, 22:03 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Kimi K4 released in 2026?
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3.
- The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
- Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Volume total
- € 225,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 157 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,4 mi
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 348,3 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Kimi K4 released by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December em 13% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Kimi K4 released by which date? é resolvido?
- Kimi K4 released by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Kimi K4 released by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.