PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual4.3% 40%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
39,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
0.4% / 5.3%
Spread
1225.0%
Spread amploVariação 7d
-0.5%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 minutos
2/07/26, 22:447/08/26, 8:30
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
4.3%40%
Comparar plataformas· 4.3%
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral84% de correspondência · auto | Média | 38% | — | 142,4 € | 8,2 mil € | há 22 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Baixa | 40% | — | 0 € | 39,8 mil € | há 22 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets84% de correspondência · vinculado | — | 93% | — | — | — | há 22 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Unemployment rate in Jul 2026?
2.0%12d
-2.0%38%
-2.0%29%
14%
+20 mais resultados
60 • Qualidade médiaSpread moderadoLiquidez médiaAlta ambiguidade
Volume total35,2 mil €
Volume 24h142,4 €
KALSHITambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Will the July 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?
12d
93.1%
6.9%
Previsão da comunidade8 previsoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for July 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$335 de jul.21d de dados25 de jul.
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Recession this year?
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2026: Trump's dream year?
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US economic state at the end of 2026?
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POLYMARKET[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
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MANIFOLD MARKETSAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Regras
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for July 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.