PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual3.3% 37%-1.0%Líder entre 12 opções
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
4,6 mil €
Liquidez
150,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
1.7% / 2.6%
Spread
52.9%
Spread amploVariação 7d
+1.2%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
14/07/26, 17:3712/08/26, 3:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
3.3%37%
Tendência de volume
$5.3k14 de jul.13d de dados26 de jul.
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Fed rate hike in 2026?
51,2 mil €Sim: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
9,3 mil €Above 3.4%: 29%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike by which date?
7,4 mil €October Meeting: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How much will core PCE increase in Jun 2026?
3,1 mil €Above 0.2%: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
US gasoline CPI for July
2,9 mil €Above 335ㅤ: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will gas hit __ by end of July?
2,5 mil €↑ $4.00: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
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Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News
Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph
Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.NewsRegras
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.