Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
Geopolítica
PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atualDecember 31 100%+2.0ptLíder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
20,2 M €
Liquidez
4,9 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+9.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 94 dias
Desatualizado28/02/26, 14:4031/03/26, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
December 3199%
April 3096%
April 15100%
June 30100%
May 15100%
April 7100%
March 70%
March 150%
March 310%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· December 31
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Baixa | 100% | — | 20,2 M € | 4,9 M € | há 94 dias | |
 Manifold Markets80% de correspondência · auto | — | 100% | — | — | — | há 96 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by which date?
Fechados
100%
100%
100%
+3 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade34 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
- A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
- This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
- Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
- A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
- This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
- Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.