Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by…?
GeopolíticaManifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Previsão da comunidade atualMay 15 100%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
34
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 96 dias
Desatualizado28/02/26, 19:4822/04/26, 19:32
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
March 70%
March 150%
March 310%
May 15100%
June 30100%
December 31100%
0%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· May 15
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral80% de correspondência · auto | Baixa | 100% | — | 20,2 M € | 4,9 M € | há 94 dias | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 100% | — | — | — | há 96 dias |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by which date?
Fechados
+2.0pt100%
+6.3pt100%
100%
+6 mais resultados
49 • Baixa qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidez
Volume total88,4 M €
Volume 24h20,2 M €
POLYMARKETRegras
Resolves same as Polymarket:
- https://polymarket.com/event/iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by
- Please note: 14 day period must start before end date, not finish.
- If conflict ended on March 6 and there was a 14 day period of no conflict until March 20, March 7 and 15 would resolve yes on March 20 when the period has finished.
- Full rules: This is for your convenience.
- Rules may be clarified further, check Polymarket if so.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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Resolves same as Polymarket:
- https://polymarket.com/event/iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by
- Please note: 14 day period must start before end date, not finish.
- If conflict ended on March 6 and there was a 14 day period of no conflict until March 20, March 7 and 15 would resolve yes on March 20 when the period has finished.
- Full rules: This is for your convenience.
- Rules may be clarified further, check Polymarket if so.