How many Israeli elections before government formed?
PolíticaOne-OffChessEleiçãoMiddle EastEsportes1a
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
1 79.4%-1.5ptLíder entre 6 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
67 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
271,2 €
Liquidez
72,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
4
Variação 7d
-14.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
28/07/26, 22:1431/12/27, 23:59
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
- Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
- Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution.
- Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
- A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
