PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 56%+7.0ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
58 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
428,1 €
Liquidez
2,1 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-6.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
10/07/26, 22:23 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5, or a model that is clearly recognized as xAI’s next flagship generation succeeding Grok 4.
- Models released under the Grok 4 generation, including Grok 4.6, Grok 4.7, or similar variants, will not qualify.
- Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will not count unless they are explicitly branded as Grok 5 or otherwise clearly announced by xAI as its next flagship Grok generation.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 75,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 61,5 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,8 mi
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 61,1 mil
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 mais resultados
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Grok 5 released by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31 em 56% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Grok 5 released by which date? é resolvido?
- Grok 5 released by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Grok 5 released by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).