Probabilidade implícita atual
Olivier Faure 32%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
57 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
162,4 €
Liquidez
7,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
9/09/26, 22:27 UTC10/10/26, 18:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
KalshiSweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketBig Brother Season 28 · 2nd place
KalshiDancing with the Stars Season 35 · 2nd Place
KalshiRegras
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections.
- The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
- If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.8pt37.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt30.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.1%
+38 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 111,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1 mi
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- € 25,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 843 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt51.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt46.5%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 184,2 mi
- Volume 24h
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-1.0pt67%
- Susan Collins33%
- Volume total
- € 4,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 523,1 mil
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,6 mi
- Texas Senate winner?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- TX-15 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place?
- A Polymarket cota Olivier Faure em 32% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place é resolvido?
- French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place deverá ser resolvido em 10 de outubro de 2026.
- Como French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections.