Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
3.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoLatin America1a
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Flávio Bolsonaro 74.6%-3.0ptLíder entre 14 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
66 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
709,7 €
Liquidez
31 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
23/04/26, 04:00 UTC4/10/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
If the named outcome finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
- A Kalshi cota Flávio Bolsonaro em 75% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place é resolvido?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place deverá ser resolvido em 4 de outubro de 2027.
- Como Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.