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  3. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoLatin America1a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro 67%+1.0%
Líder entre 13 opções
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0,9 €

Liquidez

35,6 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

67.0% / 71.0%

Spread

6.0%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

23/04/26, 4:004/10/27, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Aldo Rebelo
Aldo Rebelo
0%
Ciro Gomes
Ciro Gomes
0%

Resultado escolhido

Flávio Bolsonaro67%

PolymarketTambém disponível em Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

3m
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro
+4.0%65%
Renan Santos
Renan Santos
+0.2%17%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
9%

+29 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total3,2 M €
Volume 24h5,2 mil €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regras

If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
  • In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
  • Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
  • Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
  • If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Regras

If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
  • In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
  • Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
  • Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
  • If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.