Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoGeopolíticaChessEsportes3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 96%-0.1pt
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
9,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
3.3% / 5.6%
Spread
2.3 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
25/03/26, 16:55 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) and the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC), the CPC becomes the favorite in the "338Canada Seat Projection" (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection) at any published data point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Equal seat projections will not qualify; the CPC must have a strictly higher seat projection than the LPC.
- Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.
- Revisions indicating a qualifying projection that are released within this market’s timeframe will be considered, but will not invalidate a previously released data point that resolved the market.
- Revisions published after the specified timeframe will not be considered.