Will Naftali Bennett become Israel's prime minister after the October 2026 elections?
PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoOriente MédioXadrezGeopolíticaEsportes2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 87.1%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 47 minutos
Atrasado11/05/26, 10:44 UTC30/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if Naftali Bennett is sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, scheduled for October 2026.
- Otherwise, it resolves to "NO."
- The official outcome will be determined by the formation of a government that receives a vote of confidence from the Knesset, as reported by official Israeli government sources such as the Knesset website or major reputable news outlets (e.g., The Times of Israel, Haaretz, Reuters).
- If the election results in a government where Bennett does not hold the position of Prime Minister, the market resolves to "NO."
