Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister?
2.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualGadi Eizenkot 44%+2.5ptLíder entre 7 opções
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-2.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
15/07/26, 18:59 UTC30/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Gemini — Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 60%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Gadi Eizenkot 61%
- Também disponível em Futuur — Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election · Gadi Eisenkot 60%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 58%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 59%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election? · Gadi Eisenkot 53%
- Também disponível em PredictIt — Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Gadi Eisenkot 92%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister??
- A Manifold Markets cota Gadi Eizenkot em 44% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? é resolvido?
- Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria
- Onde mais Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Gemini, Kalshi, Futuur, Limitless, Polymarket, Manifold Markets, PredictIt.