Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 17 de jul. de 2026, 17:20 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Previsão da comunidade atualBenjamin Netanyahu 18.3%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 dias
Desatualizado15/07/26, 18:5930/12/26, 23:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Benjamin Netanyahu18%
Comparar plataformas· Gadi Eizenkot
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral97% de correspondência · auto | Média | 52% | — | 454,4 mil € | 2 M € | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
 Kalshi83% de correspondência · vinculado | Média | 52% | — | 376,1 € | 35,5 mil € | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
 Futuur68% de correspondência · vinculado | Baixa | 53% | — | 0 € | 3,1 mil € | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless90% de correspondência · vinculado | Baixa | 52% | — | 0 € | 0 € | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets90% de correspondência · vinculado | — | 46% | — | — | — | há 35 dias | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets78% de correspondência · vinculado | — | 51% | — | — | — | há 8 dias | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 48% | — | — | — | há 8 dias | |
 PredictIt69% de correspondência · vinculado | — | 42% | — | — | — | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
5m
+3.8%52%
-2.0%34%
-1.0%7%
+25 mais resultados
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total26,1 M €
Volume 24h454,4 mil €
POLYMARKETTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3a
46%
23.7%
17.4%
+13 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade49 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Limitless
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?
1a
52%
50%
50%
+2 mais resultados
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total3,3 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambém disponível em Kalshi
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
2.0%1a
+4.0%52%
+2.0%36%
+8.0%10%
+15 mais resultados
64 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total62,2 mil €
Volume 24h376,1 €
KALSHITambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election?
3m
+8.1%51.2%
-0.5%37.5%
-7.6%7.7%
+10 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade100 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em PredictIt
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
9.0%3a
-9.0%42%
16%
-3.0%9%
+6 mais resultados
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITTambém disponível em Futuur
Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election
3m
53%
37%
9%
44 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoLiquidez médiaAlta ambiguidade
Volume total879,4 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.2k66.0%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoGeoStrategistProhá 7 h
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoGeoStrategistProhá 7 h$11.4k99.4%POLYMARKETWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36há 22 h
POLYMARKETWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36há 22 h$6.3k62.0%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Noflawfencehá 3 dias
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Noflawfencehá 3 dias$11.0k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36há 6 dias
POLYMARKETWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36há 6 dias$1.1k99.6%POLYMARKETWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Nohklcrypthá 8 dias
POLYMARKETWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Nohklcrypthá 8 dias$6.6k32.2%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — YesFussy-Countrysidehá 8 dias
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — YesFussy-Countrysidehá 8 dias$5.2k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — No0xe5da…03a1há 11 dias
POLYMARKETWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — No0xe5da…03a1há 11 dias$1.0k99.7%POLYMARKETWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoCarpenterhá 13 dias
POLYMARKETWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoCarpenterhá 13 diasTendência de volume
$45115 de jul.3d de dados17 de jul.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.