Este mercado foi resolvido: Farage 60–70%
Resolvido: 14 de ago. de 2026, 11:48
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 14 de ago. de 2026, 11:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Farage 60–70% 100%+62.5ptLíder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
78,6 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaSpread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+64.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 dias
Desatualizado8/07/26, 15:2430/06/27, 23:59
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Farage 50–60%8%
Farage 60–70%100%
Farage 40–50%1%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
- This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
