PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 21:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Lula 90.2%-3.6pt
Líder entre 13 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade média
Volume 24h
13,5 mil €
Liquidez
198,7 mil €
Alta liquidez
Spread
1.6 pt
Spread apertado
Comentários
0
Variação 7d
-4.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado
17/08/26, 10:334/10/26, 6:00
Tendências
Resultado24hProbabilidade
Pablo Marçal
0%
Zema
0%
Regras
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba.
If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".