Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Bahia
0.4 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoLatin America23d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Lula 99%-0.4ptLíder entre 13 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
70 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
127,6 €
Liquidez
103,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.9 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-1.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
17/08/26, 10:26 UTC4/10/26, 06:00 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bahia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Bahia.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Bahia.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".