Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim 88%-0.0%
Qualidade do mercado
60 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
13,9 €
Liquidez
13,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
86.0% / 89.0%
Spread
3.5%
Spread moderadoVariação 7d
-4.5%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
24/10/25, 19:5625/06/26, 0:00
Tendências
Resultado escolhido
Yes88%
Também disponível em Kalshi
Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
2.0%4m
-2.0%84%
16%
44 • Baixa qualidadeSpread moderadoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total637,1 €
Volume 24h10,9 €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California.
- If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California.
- If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.