PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: 20-40 (100%)
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual20-40 100%+2.1%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
7,4 mil €
Liquidez
0 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+16.4%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 dias
Desatualizado1/06/26, 0:2730/06/26, 16:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
10-200%
20-40100%
40-601%
60+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· 20-40
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketMelhor no geral82% de correspondência · vinculado | Alta | 100% | — | 37,3 mil € | 193 mil € | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Média | 100% | — | 7,4 mil € | 0 € | há 17 dias | |
 Manifold Markets82% de correspondência · verificado | — | 100% | — | — | — | há 15 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30? [Polymarket]
Fechados
Resolvido
40+ (100%)
100%
0%
0%
Previsão da comunidade17 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Polymarket
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
4.5%5d
+18.1%100%
+8.3%18%
+4.5%9%
+4 mais resultados
100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total1,2 M €
Volume 24h37,3 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for June 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$5.4k96.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205anteontem
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205anteontem$1.4k98.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhá 7 dias
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhá 7 dias$2.6k51.8%POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profithá 12 dias
POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profithá 12 dias$8.6k85.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205há 18 dias
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205há 18 dias$3.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday77há 19 dias
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday77há 19 dias$2.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a495há 19 dias
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a495há 19 dias$3.9k88.5%POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhá 21 dias
POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhá 21 dias$1.4k95.6%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunoshá 25 dias
POLYMARKETNoJasonPunoshá 25 diasTendência de volume
$8.4k2 de jul.7d de dados8 de jul.
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This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for June 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized.