Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: 40+ (100%)
Resolvido: 10 de jul. de 2026, 00:20
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Previsão da comunidade atual40+ 100%Líder entre 3 opções
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 dias
Desatualizado25/06/26, 5:2910/07/26, 0:20
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
40+100%
60+0%
80+0%
100%
0%
0%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· 40+
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral85% de correspondência · verificado | Alta | 108% | — | 30,8 mil € | 205,1 mil € | há 12 minutos | Abrir → |
| Polymarket82% de correspondência · verificado | Média | 100% | — | 7,4 mil € | 0 € | há 17 dias | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 100% | — | — | — | há 15 dias |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
3.5%5d
+18.1%100%
+3.5%13%
+2.9%8%
+4 mais resultados
89 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total1,2 M €
Volume 24h30,8 mil €
POLYMARKETTambém disponível em Polymarket
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
2.1%Fechados
Resolvido
20-40 (100%)
+2.1%100%
0%
-0.3%0%
+2 mais resultados
72 • Qualidade médiaSpread apertadoBaixa liquidez
Volume total631,8 mil €
Volume 24h7,4 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket:
- Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
- Polymarket rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$5.4k96.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205anteontem
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205anteontem$1.4k98.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhá 7 dias
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhá 7 dias$2.6k51.8%POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profithá 12 dias
POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profithá 12 dias$8.6k85.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205há 18 dias
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205há 18 dias$3.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday77há 19 dias
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday77há 19 dias$2.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a495há 19 dias
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a495há 19 dias$3.9k88.5%POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhá 21 dias
POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhá 21 dias$1.4k95.6%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunoshá 25 dias
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This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket:
- Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
- Polymarket rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.