Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
3.5% (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffMiddle East5d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual40+ 100%+18.1%Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
89 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
30,8 mil €
Liquidez
205,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
12.1% / 13.0%
Spread
7.4%
Spread moderadoVariação 7d
-0.8%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
26/06/26, 21:0131/07/26, 23:59
Tendências
100%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
30+13%
Comparar plataformas· 40+
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 100% | — | 30,8 mil € | 205,1 mil € | há 18 minutos | |
| Polymarket82% de correspondência · vinculado | Média | 100% | — | 7,4 mil € | 0 € | há 17 dias | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets85% de correspondência · verificado | — | 100% | — | — | — | há 15 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30? [Polymarket]
Fechados
Resolvido
40+ (100%)
100%
0%
0%
Previsão da comunidade17 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Polymarket
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
2.1%Fechados
Resolvido
20-40 (100%)
+2.1%100%
0%
-0.3%0%
+2 mais resultados
72 • Qualidade médiaSpread apertadoBaixa liquidez
Volume total631,8 mil €
Volume 24h7,4 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$5.4k96.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205anteontem
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205anteontem$1.4k98.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhá 7 dias
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhá 7 dias$2.6k51.8%POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profithá 12 dias
POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profithá 12 dias$8.6k85.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205há 18 dias
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205há 18 dias$3.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday77há 19 dias
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday77há 19 dias$2.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a495há 19 dias
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a495há 19 dias$3.9k88.5%POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhá 21 dias
POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhá 21 dias$1.4k95.6%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunoshá 25 dias
POLYMARKETNoJasonPunoshá 25 diasTendência de volume
$35.1k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.