PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
4.2% 30.6%-0.5ptLíder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
61 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
648,4 €
Liquidez
9,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
0
Variação 7d
+3.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
7/08/26, 17:104/09/26, 8:30
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Referencia CoinRithm 4.2% 33% · 2 plataformas · faixa de 0 pt
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Unemployment rate in Aug 2026? · Exactly 4.2% 26%
- Também disponível em ForecastEx — Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in August 2026? · No 97%
- Também disponível em Limitless — August Unemployment Rate · 4.2% 29%
- Também disponível em Futuur — US unemployment rate — August 2026 · Above 3.7% 95%
Mercados abertos
Economy
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-6.0pt22%
- Volume total
- € 196,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 17 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 106,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 13,5 mil
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No93%
- Yes-1.0pt7%
- Volume total
- € 2,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 9,9 mil
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mil
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.7%96%
- Above 3.8%96%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 229,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,5 mil
POLYMARKETJapan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
- 0.0%–0.8%+19.5pt25%
- 0.8%–1.6%+18.5pt21%
- -0.8%–0.0%+2.0pt18.6%
+7 mais resultados
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- CPI in August
- U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de August Unemployment Rate?
- A Polymarket cota 4.2% em 31% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando August Unemployment Rate é resolvido?
- August Unemployment Rate deverá ser resolvido em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Como August Unemployment Rate é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
- Onde mais August Unemployment Rate está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi, ForecastEx, Limitless, Futuur.