PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 21 de ago. de 2026, 17:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
53.0–53.9 40%+1.5ptLíder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado
65 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,8 mil €
Liquidez
6,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComments
0
Variação 7d
+12.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 30 minutos
6/08/26, 9:173/09/26, 6:00
Tendências
0%
Regras
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.
Mercados abertos
Macro & EconomyPOLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-3.0pt72.3%
- No Change+5.5pt27.7%
- 50+ bps cut0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 47,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 8,4 mil
KALSHIHow low will the S&P get this year?
- 6,300 or below+6.0pt23%
- 6,200 or below+3.0pt23%
- 6,100 or below15%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 687,1 mil
KALSHIFear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026?
- Greed-2.0pt54.5%
- Neutral+20.0pt43.1%
- Extreme Greed-6.0pt0.8%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-0.4pt64%
- 8,200 or above-2.2pt36%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 915,3 mil
KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Productivity74%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence-9.0pt70%
- Independent / Independence70%
+17 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 39 mil
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+2.0pt46%
- Above $4.80+7.0pt40%
- Above $5.0028%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Which companies will conduct layoffs this year?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- TSA avg check-ins from Aug 17 to 23, 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- US electricity price in August
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de ISM Services PMI - August 2026?
- A Polymarket cota 53.0–53.9 em 40% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando ISM Services PMI - August 2026 é resolvido?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 3 de setembro de 2026.
- Como ISM Services PMI - August 2026 é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).