Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAMI goes public by Dec 31, 2030, through IPO, SPAC, RTO, or any other mechanism on any exchange 59.8%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado10/03/26, 20:36 UTC10/03/27, 20:36 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
By EOY 2026, will Yann LeCun do a 180 on his view of x-risk from AI?
Manifold MarketsWill Yann LeCun be Yann LeCun again? (2020-2030)
Manifold MarketsWill Yann LeCun hire bodyguards by 2030
Manifold MarketsWill jurgen schmidhuber, Sam Altman, or Yann lecun be crucified for the sins committed by ALL AGI researchers?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Tracks Yann LeCun's AMI Labs after $1.03B seed raise at $3.5B valuation and CEO Alex LeBrun hire, focusing on world-model AI progress vs. LLM dominance.
- AI-managed market.
- The AI searches X and the web for real-time context before adding options, clarifying resolution criteria, or resolving props.
- /add-option — suggest a new prop.
- AI researches it, then adds if unique and interesting.
- /clarify-resolution — ask what an option means and how it resolves.