Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 75%
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37
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado31/12/23, 01:59 UTC1/01/28, 07:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?
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For the purposes of this question, Xi Jinping's leadership of China includes both formal titles (President, General Secretary, Chairman of the Central Military Commission) as well as his de facto leadership.
- If Xi ceases to hold all of his formal titles, but comes up with a new one and is still widely recognized as holding de facto power, this would not count as ceasing to be China's leader.
- If Xi becomes ill and arguably "de facto" power is held for a short period by someone else, but Xi keeps any of titles during this period, this would not count as ceasing to be China's leader.
- @/cash/will-xi-jinping-cease-to-be-chinas-88b203241f22
- @/cash/will-xi-jinping-cease-to-be-chinas-5440920441a8
- @/cash/will-xi-jinping-cease-to-be-chinas
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- € 35,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 100,1 mil
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- € 11,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 38,7 mil
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume total
- € 356,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 13,5 mil
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- € 2,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 11 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 75% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: For the purposes of this question, Xi Jinping's leadership of China includes both formal titles (President, General Secretary, Chairman of the Central Military Commission) as well as his de facto leadership.
- Onde mais Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket, Limitless.