KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before 2030 21%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
21,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.9 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
6/01/26, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
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If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Guardianlocal news outlets with verifiable mastheads in TaiwanXi Jinpingofficial government sources of Taiwanofficial representatives or offices of Xi JinpingThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCNNFox NewsMSNBCCNBC
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required.
- Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit.
- International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction.
- A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.
- If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan??
- A Kalshi cota Before 2030 em 21% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan? é resolvido?
- When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.