PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Zhang Shengmin 8%-0.1ptLíder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
70 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
476,7 €
Liquidez
99,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.4 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
19
Variação 7d
-0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
29/01/26, 20:41 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
- 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
- Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
- A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
Mercados abertos
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- € 35,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 100,1 mil
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- € 11,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 38,7 mil
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume total
- € 356,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 13,5 mil
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- € 2,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 11 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota Zhang Shengmin em 8% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? é resolvido?
- Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.