Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 98%
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado1/03/26, 19:12 UTC31/12/26, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if a military conflict meeting the definition of World War 3 begins on or after November 19, 2026, the release date of GTA VI.
- Resolution is based on whether major powers (typically defined as permanent UN Security Council members or NATO members) engage in direct military conflict.
- The market resolves NO if no such conflict occurs by a specified end date.
- Resolution sources may include official government statements, major news outlets (Reuters, AP, BBC), UN declarations, or NATO announcements.
- GTA VI is scheduled to release on November 19, 2026, after delays that extended the development timeline.