Will Wikipedia on or before January 1st 2030 list WWIII as having started already on April 1, 2026
One-OffGeopolítica3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90.3%
Previsores
36
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado14/03/26, 04:39 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will Claude 7 name as having the most significant contribution to AI alignment?
Manifold MarketsWhat percentage of school-age Americans (K-12) will be reported as having been homeschooled in the spring of 2024?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Clarification: A "World War Three" article, which has appeared on the In the News portal, has maintained a starting date of than April 1st or earlier for longer than 7 days, and no talk page disputes about this decision.
- Update 2026-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Vandalism does not count for resolution.
- The Wikipedia entry must be a legitimate entry that remains on the page for more than a few minutes.