Will Wikipedia be unavailable in the UK before 2027 due to the OSA?
One-OffRegulamentaçãoTecnologiaEurope3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 93.5%
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado29/07/25, 12:11 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Minimax-H3 become unavailable on HuggingFace in any state in the US before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Illinois' AI safety bill have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?
Manifold MarketsUK social media ban in effect by which date?
PolymarketWill "Chat control" legislation be implemented in the EU by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
PolymarketRegras
The United Kingdom recently enacted the Categorisation Regulations for the Online Safety Act, which requires certain online sites to require age verification for users, censorship of harmful topics, and identity verification for contributors, among other rules.
- Wikipedia would likely fall under these requirements, but has said that they will not enforce these rules.
- https://wikimediafoundation.org/news/2025/07/17/wikimedia-foundation-challenges-uk-online-safety-act-regulations/
- This market will resolve to YES if, before January 1, 2027, Wikipedia becomes inaccessible to users in the United Kingdom due to enforcement actions under the UK's Online Safety Act (OSA).
- Verification will be based on official announcements from the Wikimedia Foundation, UK government statements, or credible news reports confirming such inaccessibility.
- If no such inaccessibility occurs by the specified date, the market will resolve to NO.
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 182,3 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 mais resultados
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Wikipedia be unavailable in the UK before 2027 due to the OSA??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 94% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Wikipedia be unavailable in the UK before 2027 due to the OSA? é resolvido?
- Will Wikipedia be unavailable in the UK before 2027 due to the OSA? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Wikipedia be unavailable in the UK before 2027 due to the OSA? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The United Kingdom recently enacted the Categorisation Regulations for the Online Safety Act, which requires certain online sites to require age verification for users, censorship of harmful topics, and identity verification for contributors, among other rules.