Will we discover alien life before 2038?

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will we discover alien life before 2038??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 78% em 2 de novembro de 2026.

Quando Will we discover alien life before 2038? é resolvido?

Will we discover alien life before 2038? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de março de 2038.

Como Will we discover alien life before 2038? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves as YES if we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life before January 1st 2038.

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POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

• ↑5k+1.1pt99%
• ↑5.5k+1.1pt96%
• ↑6k-1.5pt87%

+13 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 7,4 mi

Volume 24h

€ 60,6 mil

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.1pt98%
• Yes-0.1pt2%

Volume total

€ 16,9 mi

Volume 24h

€ 8,6 mil

POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No+1.1pt98%
• Yes-1.1pt2%

Volume total

€ 1,2 mi

Volume 24h

€ 8,4 mil

POLYMARKET

How many US births in 2026?

• 3.56M–3.59M+10.0pt38.2%
• 3.53M–3.56M+2.5pt29.4%
• 3.59M–3.62M-2.0pt13.7%

+4 mais resultados

KALSHI

How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

• Above 019%
• Above 1-1.0pt11.5%
• Above 28.5%

KALSHI

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

• Before Jan 1, 202989.5%
• Before Jul 1, 202884.5%
• Before Jan 1, 202855.5%

• Ebola pandemic in 2026?
• Plague declared public health emergency by which date?
• Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
• CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR)?
• When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
• When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
• Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
• Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
• Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
• Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?