Will U.S. Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers leave her role by EOY 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 68.5%
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8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado22/08/26, 11:08 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Sarah B. Rogers officially vacates, resigns, is dismissed, or is replaced in her role as the United States Under Secretary of State for Public Diplomacy and Public Affairs on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- If she remains in office as of that deadline, the market will resolve to NO.
- Dual-Role Clarification: In March 2026, Rogers was nominated to concurrently serve as the Chief Executive Officer of the U.S. Agency for Global Media (USAGM).
- If she is confirmed to the USAGM position but retains her office as the Under Secretary of State for Public Diplomacy and Public Affairs, this does not qualify as leaving her role, and the market will resolve to NO (unless she subsequently vacates the State Department role before the deadline).
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined based on official announcements from the U.S. Department of State or reports from major, reputable news organizations (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, The New York Times, or The Washington Post).
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will U.S. Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers leave her role by EOY 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 69% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will U.S. Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers leave her role by EOY 2026? é resolvido?
- Will U.S. Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers leave her role by EOY 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will U.S. Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers leave her role by EOY 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria