Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolíticaEleição3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 86.2%
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado10/03/26, 19:44 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
KalshiWhen will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill Marco Rubio visit Greenland before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio serve as Secretary of State until Jan 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio ever be President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Marco Rubio is serving as the 72nd United States Secretary of State on December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be verified through official U.S. State Department records or announcements from the White House or Congress regarding any change in the Secretary of State position.
- The market resolves NO if Rubio has resigned, been removed, or otherwise ceased serving in this role before the end date.
- Rubio was confirmed unanimously by the U.S. Senate and took office on January 21, 2025.
- On May 1, 2025, Trump announced that Rubio would become acting national security advisor, replacing Mike Waltz, while continuing to serve as secretary of state.
Mercados abertos
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695,7 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- € 24,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 294,7 mil
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 291,3 mil
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 86% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026? é resolvido?
- Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria