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Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 03:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Karoline Leavitt 50%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
22 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
26/08/26, 14:111/01/27, 14:59
Tendências
Regras
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
If the named outcome leaves as Chief of Staff before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
the named outcome must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Outcome verified from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
3 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Karoline Leavitt é de 100%. As cotações diferem cerca de 50 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas. As plataformas não concordam sobre qual resultado está à frente.
Referencia CoinRithm Karoline Leavitt 100% · 3 plataformas · 50 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Gemini — Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026? · Lori Chavez-DeRemer 100%
- Também disponível em Futuur — Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? · Tulsi Gabbard 86%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Karoline Leavitt 100%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026??
- A Limitless cota Karoline Leavitt em 50% em 2 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? é resolvido?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Limitless liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>If the named outcome leaves as Chief of Staff before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>the named outcome must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.</p><p><br></p><p>If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Onde mais Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Gemini, Futuur, Kalshi.