Will Ukraine control more territory after the war than it would have under the 2023 peace proposal?
One-OffRússia / UcrâniaGeopolíticaPolítica1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80.4%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado27/10/26, 00:18 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
As reported by the Financial Times and confirmed by Ukrainian legislator Oleksiy Goncharenko, the peace terms discussed in early 2023 would have seen Ukraine regain control of all of the territories captured by Russia since 24 February 2022.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the amount of territory Ukraine controls following the end of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is greater than the amount of territory Ukraine would have controlled if the 2023 peace proposal described by the Financial Times had been implemented.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- This market concerns de facto territorial control.
