Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 91.2%
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42
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado12/07/25, 22:21 UTC21/01/29, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
This market resolves Yes if Nate Silver's aggregator currently sited here: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin ever shows Donald Trump's current approval rating as 47.0% or higher between now and when he ends his second presidential term for any reason.
- Otherwise, if Trump dies, is successfully removed via impeachment, or ends his second term for any reason, this market will resolve No once any pending polls are added.
- The spirit of this market pertains to actual approval of Trump's actual legal term, so if his second term is extended via autocratic action or if postmortem polls are added for some glitchy/negligent reason, the market will have already resolved and will stay resolved.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends? é resolvido?
- Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends? deverá ser resolvido em 21 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves Yes if Nate Silver's aggregator currently sited here: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin ever shows Donald Trump's current approval rating as 47.0% or higher between now and when he ends his second presidential term for any reason.