Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 11:05 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 94.4%
Previsores
45
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado12/07/25, 22:21 UTC21/01/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump’s approval rating at the end of his second term be at least as low as Joe Biden’s?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating get during his term?
KalshiWill there be a general strike in the United States before Trump's second term ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
PolymarketRegras
This market resolves Yes if Nate Silver's aggregator currently sited here: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin ever shows Donald Trump's current approval rating as 47.0% or higher between now and when he ends his second presidential term for any reason.
- Otherwise, if Trump dies, is successfully removed via impeachment, or ends his second term for any reason, this market will resolve No once any pending polls are added.
- The spirit of this market pertains to actual approval of Trump's actual legal term, so if his second term is extended via autocratic action or if postmortem polls are added for some glitchy/negligent reason, the market will have already resolved and will stay resolved.
- [link preview]