How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2a
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At least $1 billion · —
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Preço registado
At least $1 billion 5.5%Líder entre 10 opções
At least $1 billion 5.5%Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
35,2 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: altoCompra / Venda
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At least $1 billionSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
14/08/26, 14:30 UTC31/03/29, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · At least $1 billion
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:FRED
- Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 is compared against Q4 2024.
Regras de cada resultado
- At least $1 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 150 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $150 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 500 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $500 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2 trillion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $2000 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 250 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $250 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 750 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $750 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 100 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $100 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1 trillion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1000 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 200 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $200 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.