Will Trump "Sell Out" Taiwan Under Rubio's State Department
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAGeopolíticaChina2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 67.8%
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Atualizado há 22 horas
Desatualizado8/11/24, 00:34 UTC21/01/29, 07:59 UTC
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Will the Trump administration take specific actions undermining support for Taiwan during Trump's term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029), with Marco Rubio as Secretary of State?
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if ANY of the following occur during Trump's presidency with Rubio as Secretary of State:
- Official Policy Changes:
- Formal recognition of PRC sovereignty over Taiwan
- Explicit withdrawal of previous US security commitments to Taiwan
