Will Trump allow the US Mid-term elections to run in 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsChessEleiçãoEsportes1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 90%
Previsores
40
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado14/01/26, 01:34 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US Congress override a Trump veto before the mid-term elections in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Polymarket allow US persons to trade on the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
PolymarketWhich parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolymarketWho will be a part of the next government of Israel?
KalshiRegras
The US is headed, I doubt the mid-terms will run, and if they do doubt Trump will allow the results to go through without issue.
- Expect he will either nullify the result (if not his way) or rig them to give him the result he wants
- Resolution criteria
- The 2026 US midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if the elections occur as scheduled on that date.
- The market resolves NO if Trump or his administration successfully prevents, postpones, or cancels the elections before they take place.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump allow the US Mid-term elections to run in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 90% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump allow the US Mid-term elections to run in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Trump allow the US Mid-term elections to run in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Will Trump allow the US Mid-term elections to run in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The US is headed, I doubt the mid-terms will run, and if they do doubt Trump will allow the results to go through without issue.