Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20262m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 66.8%
Previsores
37
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado12/03/26, 06:47 UTC30/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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ForecastExRegras
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Democrats win a majority of the 100 Senate seats following elections in 2026.
- The Democrats would need 51 seats to control the chamber.
- If seat >= 51 resolve as YES
- If seat < 51 resolve as NO
- If the election is cancelled resolve as NO
