Will the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20267d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 07:03 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 67%
Previsores
34
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado25/03/26, 14:44 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Republicans maintain a majority in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterm elections on November 3, 2026.
- Currently, Republicans hold 53 seats and Democrats hold 47 (including two independents), with 35 seats up for election—22 held by Republicans and 13 by Democrats.
- Republicans can lose only two seats and retain a majority.
- Resolution will be determined by the official results certified by the Senate following the November 3, 2026 elections, including two special elections in Florida and Ohio.
- Republicans gained majority control of the Senate in the 2024 elections by flipping four Democratic seats.
