Will Republicans maintain control of the US house following the 2026 midterm elections?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20262mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 76.2%
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado8/10/26, 03:14 UTC31/12/26, 11:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Republican Party wins a majority of seats (at least 218 of 435) in the United States House of Representatives in the midterm elections held on November 3, 2026, or otherwise maintains control of the chamber when the 120th Congress is officially convened on January 3, 2027.
- This market will resolve to NO if the Democratic Party (or any other non-Republican coalition) wins a majority of seats or otherwise secures control of the chamber.
- Key Details:
- Tie-Breaker/Independent Seats: If neither major party wins 218 seats outright due to third-party or independent representatives, control will be determined by which party officially organizes the House and elects the Speaker of the House when the 120th Congress convenes.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined by official election results published by the Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
