Will Republicans maintain house control in 2026 midterms?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20262mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 67.1%
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado7/10/26, 18:43 UTC31/12/26, 11:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketUS House Control After the 2026 Midterms
Robinhood (Rothera)Regras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, following the U.S. midterm elections on November 3, 2026, the Republican Party maintains control of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th Congress.
- Specifically, this means:
- The Republican Party wins at least 218 of the 435 voting seats in the House.
- Alternatively, if neither party secures 218 seats outright due to independents or third parties, this market will resolve to YES if the Republican Party successfully organizes the chamber and elects a Republican Speaker of the House when the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027.
- If the Democratic Party or any other non-Republican coalition wins a majority of seats or successfully organizes the chamber (electing a non-Republican Speaker), this market resolves to NO.
