Will there be a successful application of diffusion-like weight modification in LLMs before 2027?
IAOne-OffTecnologia2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 90.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado23/11/24, 12:02 UTC2/01/27, 00:00 UTC
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This market resolves YES if a peer-reviewed research paper or major tech company publication (e.g. from Google, Meta, X.AI, OpenAI, or Anthropic) by 1/1/2027 demonstrates successful application of diffusion-like techniques (noising and trained denoising) to directly modify LLM weights usefully toward some safety or capabilities-relevant downstream purpose.
- Resolution will be based on papers indexed on arXiv.org or published on major AI research blogs.
