Will there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027?
IAOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 96.3%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado15/04/26, 05:03 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before January 1, 2027, an AI model (or a service powered by such a model) is released for general public access—defined as being available for use via web interface, API, or open-weights download—that is widely recognized by the AI research community to possess reasoning, coding, or creative capabilities comparable to or exceeding Anthropic's "Mythos" model.
- If no such model is publicly available by this date, the market will resolve to "No."
- Resolution will be based on a consensus of leading AI publications, industry analysis, and technical benchmarks.
- Anthropic has characterized certain iterations or planned developments within their model hierarchy as possessing advanced capabilities, sometimes internally codenamed or referred to in competitive contexts.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Volume total
- € 225,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 157 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,4 mi
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 348,3 mil
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- DeepSeek market share this week
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This description was generated by AI.