Will there be a polling error of at least 5% in the 2026 generic ballot polling?

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a polling error of at least 5% in the 2026 generic ballot polling??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 78% em 23 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will there be a polling error of at least 5% in the 2026 generic ballot polling? é resolvido?

Will there be a polling error of at least 5% in the 2026 generic ballot polling? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.

Como Will there be a polling error of at least 5% in the 2026 generic ballot polling? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I will average the FiftyPlusOne, Silver Bulletin and RealClearPolitics averages and compare them against the national generic congressional vote, excluding districts where one candidate was running unopposed.

Use este mercado em código ou em um agente de IA

JSON gratuito deste mercado, sem chave de API:

Agentes de IA: chame pm_data_event no servidor MCP da CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep-2.0pt65.7%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt24.5%
• Republicans Sweep+1.0pt8.8%

+2 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 29,7 mi

Volume 24h

€ 2,5 mi

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-2.0pt64.5%
• Ken Paxton+2.0pt35.5%

Volume total

€ 34,8 mi

Volume 24h

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-1.0pt67%
• D-House, R-Senate+2.0pt23.5%
• Republicans sweep

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party91.3%
• Republican Party+0.6pt8.9%

Volume total

€ 60,5 mi

Volume 24h

€ 1,3 mi

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro+0.9pt77.2%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt22.8%

+17 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 172,7 mi

Volume 24h

€ 1,1 mi

KALSHI

Brazil Presidential election winner?

• Flávio Bolsonaro75.5%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva24.5%

+12 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 10,2 mi

Volume 24h

€ 871,8 mil

• Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
• Which party will win the House in 2026?
• 2026 Texas Senate Race
• Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
• Texas Governor winner?
• Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
• California Governor winner? (Person)
• South Carolina Senate winner?
• 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
• US House Control After the 2026 Midterms